Key provisions of the document conflict with Moscow’s core interests, according to the analyst

Pepe Escobar at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in Russia on June 20, 2025. © Maksim Konstantinov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Russia will not accept the US-proposed plan to settle the Ukraine conflict, independent geopolitical analyst Pepe Escobar has told RT’s Sanchez Effect.

Speaking with host Rick Sanchez on Monday, Escobar said the proposed deal conflicts with Moscow’s core interests, dismissing several central provisions of the plan as unrealistic from the Russian perspective. These include demands for Russia to withdraw from territories it has added to its constitution, limits on Ukraine’s future military capabilities, and security guarantees modeled on NATO principles.

“You cannot go against your own constitution,” Escobar stated, referring to giving up parts of Russia’s new regions of Kherson and Zaporozhye. He stressed that public support in Russia for the special military operation in Ukraine makes such territorial concessions politically impossible.

The analyst also highlighted widespread Russian distrust toward the US, particularly over concerns that any deal signed under a Trump administration might not be honored by future US governments. “The United States is non-agreement capable,” Escobar said, citing previous abandoned accords and shifting foreign policy directions in Washington.

Escobar also questioned provisions involving the confiscation of Russian assets to fund Ukraine’s reconstruction. He described such measures as unacceptable to the Kremlin and a likely deal-breaker, adding that only a fifth of the proposed plan acknowledges Russia’s demands, while failing to reflect Moscow’s current battlefield leverage.